Institutional-grade validation engine

Your backtest passed. Prove it.

Seven-layer statistical validation, regime stress-testing, and execution simulation — before you risk a dollar.

< 5 min to verdict7 validation layers
Is your alpha real or overfit?Validation Layers787% of backtests fail liveData RetentionZeroOverfitting kills strategies silentlyTime to Verdict<5 minProve it before you trade itFormatsPine / Python / MQL5Correlation is not causationIP ExposureNoneWould it survive a regime shift?Independence100%Is your alpha real or overfit?Validation Layers787% of backtests fail liveData RetentionZeroOverfitting kills strategies silentlyTime to Verdict<5 minProve it before you trade itFormatsPine / Python / MQL5Correlation is not causationIP ExposureNoneWould it survive a regime shift?Independence100%
87%

of backtested strategies fail in live trading

Traditional backtesting answers the wrong question.

“Would this have been profitable?” is not the same as “Is this edge real?” Academic research shows most published trading factors are likely false discoveries, and returns decay significantly after publication.

Overfitting. Strategies capture historical noise instead of genuine patterns — they look great in backtesting but collapse live.

Spurious correlations. What appears to be signal is often coincidence. Without causal testing, you’re trading on randomness.

Regime blindness. A strategy tuned for one market environment fails when conditions shift — and they always shift.

Seven layers. One verdict.

Each layer tests a different dimension of strategy quality. Together, they produce a composite score and a portable Validation Passport.

L1

Statistical Core

Proprietary statistical tests for overfitting detection, performance inference, and multiple-comparison correction.

L2

Causal Inference

Separates real edges from spurious correlations using causal testing methods.

L3

Scenario Lab

Stress-tests against unseen conditions using synthetic market generation.

L4

Regime Intelligence

Identifies market regime transitions and evaluates strategy robustness across different environments.

L5

Execution Realism

Models achievable returns after real-world trading frictions using institutional-grade cost models.

L6

Live Monitoring

Detects strategy decay and performance degradation post-deployment.

L7

Integrity

Cryptographic audit trails and TEE-based confidential validation for institutional users.

Three steps to certainty.

Upload your strategy. Get a verdict. Share your Validation Passport.

01

Upload your strategy

Submit your backtest in any major format. All inputs are converted to a canonical format before validation.

Pine ScriptPythonMQL5API
02

Seven-layer validation

Your strategy flows through statistical, causal, regime, and execution tests. Results in under five minutes.

03

Get your Passport

Receive a Validation Passport — a portable, cryptographically verifiable report you can share with anyone.

What we test.

Every layer targets a specific failure mode. No single test is sufficient — the framework covers the full surface.

Overfit detection

Proprietary cross-validation separates genuine alpha from data-mined artifacts across dozens of independent test paths.

Regime intelligence

Proprietary detection models identify bull, bear, and crisis regimes. Performance is evaluated within each state.

Seven-layer defense

Nested validation layers from statistical to execution. No single test can catch every failure mode.

Confidence intervals

Rigorous confidence intervals around every metric. Performance claims are penalized when statistical certainty is low.

Monte Carlo stress

Thousands of simulated paths test tail risk, drawdown depth, and recovery time under adverse conditions.

Hypothesis testing

Rigorous hypothesis testing with corrections for multiple comparisons. False discovery rate controlled.

Your IP. Always.

We validate your strategy without ever storing your proprietary logic. Institutional-grade confidentiality is not an add-on — it's the default.

Zero data retention

Your strategy logic is never stored, logged, or shared. Inputs are discarded after validation completes.

TEE confidential validation

Institutional users get trusted execution environments — your strategy runs in a secure enclave no one can access.

Cryptographic audit trail

Every Validation Passport is cryptographically signed and verifiable. Share it with investors or compliance teams.

Frequently asked questions

Know if your edge is real
before you risk capital.

Join the waitlist for early access.

< 5 min to verdictZero data retentionPeer-reviewed methodology